Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.059113 0.069444 0.080983 0.094819 0.110951 0.129160 0.151270
2025-07-27 0.043658 0.057227 0.074043 0.096380 0.125242 0.161254 0.209581
2025-08-03 0.034709 0.049520 0.069405 0.097981 0.137923 0.191701 0.269556
2025-08-10 0.029237 0.044735 0.066961 0.101031 0.151812 0.224559 0.336570
2025-08-17 0.023639 0.038463 0.060988 0.097523 0.155114 0.242189 0.383616
2025-08-24 0.020112 0.034569 0.057699 0.097145 0.162488 0.266105 0.442518
2025-08-31 0.017159 0.031019 0.054264 0.095773 0.167718 0.286864 0.498592
2025-09-07 0.015347 0.029057 0.053069 0.097788 0.178570 0.317741 0.574873
2025-09-14 0.013395 0.026501 0.050415 0.096759 0.183811 0.339468 0.637791
2025-09-21 0.011582 0.023893 0.047252 0.094267 0.185909 0.355652 0.692434
2025-09-28 0.010011 0.021497 0.044120 0.091325 0.186640 0.369197 0.743501
2025-10-05 0.009234 0.020583 0.043722 0.093647 0.197798 0.403547 0.838390
2025-10-12 0.008364 0.019359 0.042576 0.094386 0.206077 0.433685 0.929584
2025-10-19 0.007597 0.018241 0.041497 0.095127 0.214487 0.465164 1.027657
2025-10-26 0.006976 0.017354 0.040783 0.096543 0.224497 0.501088 1.139461
2025-11-02 0.006535 0.016818 0.040770 0.099514 0.238303 0.546659 1.277653
2025-11-09 0.005724 0.015247 0.038147 0.096051 0.236952 0.558811 1.342732
2025-11-16 0.005200 0.014312 0.036895 0.095677 0.242767 0.587692 1.449527
2025-11-23 0.004683 0.013312 0.035339 0.094325 0.246015 0.610963 1.545852
2025-11-30 0.004391 0.012867 0.035116 0.096310 0.257780 0.655726 1.699276
2025-12-07 0.003988 0.012049 0.033813 0.095297 0.261764 0.682027 1.810171
2025-12-14 0.003569 0.011115 0.032064 0.092841 0.261647 0.698087 1.897043
2025-12-21 0.003180 0.010205 0.030249 0.089943 0.259954 0.709914 1.974353